The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect

The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect

by Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie


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Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780465097609
Publisher: Basic Books
Publication date: 05/15/2018
Pages: 432
Sales rank: 19,991
Product dimensions: 6.20(w) x 9.30(h) x 1.60(d)

About the Author

Judea Pearl is a Professor of Computer Science at UCLA. The author of three highly influential scholarly books, he is a winner of the Alan Turing Award, often considered the equivalent of the Nobel Prize for computer science. He is a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, and was one of the first ten inductees into the IEEE Intelligent Systems Hall of Fame. He has received numerous awards and honorary doctorates, including the Rumelhart Prize (Cognitive Science Society), the Benjamin Franklin Medal (Franklin Institute) and the Lakatos Award (London School of Economics). He is the founder and president of the Daniel Pearl Foundation. He lives in Los Angeles, CA.

Dana Mackenzie is a Ph.D. mathematician turned science writer, and has written for such magazines as Science, New Scientist, Scientific American, Smithsonian, Nautilus, and Discover. His book, The Big
Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be, was named a Booklist Editors' Choice and selected as an Audiobook of the Year for 2010 by He received the 2012 Communication Award (Joint Policy Board for Mathematics) and the 2015 Chauvenet Prize for mathematical exposition (Mathematical Association of America). He lives in Santa Cruz, CA.

Table of Contents

Preface ix

Introduction Mind over Data 1

Chapter 1 The Ladder of Causation 23

Chapter 2 From Buccaneers to Guinea Pigs: The Genesis of Causal Inference 53

Chapter 3 From Evidence to Causes: Reverend Bayes Meets Mr Holmes 93

Chapter 4 Confounding and Deconfounding: Or, Slaying the Lurking Variable 135

Chapter 5 The Smoke-Filled Debate: Clearing the Air 167

Chapter 6 Paradoxes Galore! 189

Chapter 7 Beyond Adjustment: The Conquest of Mount Intervention 219

Chapter 8 Counterfactuals: Mining Worlds That Could Have Been 259

Chapter 9 Mediation: The Search for a Mechanism 299

Chapter 10 Big Data, Artificial Intelligence, and the Big Questions 349

Acknowledgments 371

Notes 373

Bibliography 377

Index 405

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