How will Donald Trump's "America First" policy impact international stability? This sobering book argues that it will put the country on a path toward war. International relations expert Hall Gardner analyzes the twists and turns of our president's foreign policy pronouncements from the beginning of his campaign to the present. He argues that Trump's proposed economic nationalism and military buildupif implementedwill alienate America's friends and rivals alike. The unintended and perilous consequence could well be to press Russia, Iran, Turkey, and China into a closer counter-alliance versus the United States, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Israel, and Saudi Arabia.
Gardner has long warned that the uncoordinated NATO and European Union enlargement into former Soviet spheres of influence and security would not only provoke a Russian revanchist backlash, but could also encourage Moscow to forge a Sino-Russian alliance. That Russian backlash has already taken place since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 during the Obama administration. Now Trump's seeming contempt of trade pacts and multilateral relations, plus his confrontation with both Iran and North Korea, could push Russia to construct closer ties with a more assertive China to form a polarizing alliance. At the same time, "America First" trade and monetary disputes with allies could tempt some of those states to move into neutrality or else drift into the Russia-China orbit.
Against this dangerous and destabilizing unilateralism, Gardner makes a convincing case that the only workable means of maintaining a peaceful world order is through patient and thoroughly engaged diplomacy and a realist rapprochement with both Russia and China.
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About the Author
Hall Gardner has been the chair or co-chair of the Department of International and Comparative Politics at the American University of Paris since 1992. He is the author, editor, or co-editor of twelve books on global politics, most recently, Crimea, Global Rivalry, and the Vengeance of History and The Failure to Prevent World War I: The Unexpected Armageddon. His research blends a historical and theoretical approach with contemporary international affairs, concentrating on questions involving NATO and European Union enlargement, the collapse of the Soviet Union and its impact on China and Eurasia in general, as well as the global ramifications of the "war on terrorism"with an eye toward conflict resolution. He is additionally an internationally published poet. He completed his BA at Colgate University and both his MA and PhD at the Johns Hopkins Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies.
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From the Introduction: "A Self-Fulfilling Prophecy"
Excerpted from "World War Trump"
Copyright © 2018 Hall Gardner.
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Table of Contents
Introduction: A Self-Fulfilling Prophecy 9
Chapter 1 The Perils of the New "America First" Nationalism 21
Chapter 2 Inauguration Tremors: Rifles, Tanks, and Nuclear Weapons 47
Chapter 3 The New Bogeyman: Russians, Immigrants, Muslims-and the Question of Impeachment 71
Chapter 4 Risks of the New American Nationalism for the European Union 97
Chapter 5 The Risk of War over Crimea, the Black Sea, and Eastern Europe 123
Chapter 6 The Global Impact of the China-Russia Eurasian Alliance 143
Chapter 7 China, North Korea, and the Risk of War in the Indo-Pacific 169
Chapter 8 Syria and Widening Wars in the "Wider Middle East" 193
Chapter 9 Peace through Strength: Or World War Trump? 223
Chapter 10 Defusing the Global Crisis 261
Postscript: It Can Happen Here 291