Table of Contents
Preface xi
Introduction 3
Part 1 The Global Economy and Developing Countries
1 1950: The Start of a Remarkable Century 11
2 Static Views of a Changing World 15
3 Postwar Changes in the Global Economy 18
4 The Origins of the Global Economy 26
5 Economic Growth 31
6 Common Questions About the Developing World and the Global Economy 42
Part 2 Sustained High Growth in the Developing World
7 The High-Growth Developing Countries in the Postwar Period 53
8 The Opening of the Global Economy 56
9 Knowledge Transfer and Catch-up Growth in Developing Countries 58
10 Global Demand and Catch-up Growth 64
11 The Internal Dynamics of Sustained High Growth 69
12 Key Internal Ingredients of Sustained High-Growth Recipes 71
13 Opening Up: An Issue of Speed and Sequencing 89
14 The Washington Consensus and the Role of Government 92
15 Managing One's Currency in the Course of Growth 97
16 The Middle-Income Transition 100
17 The Political, Leadership, and Governance Underpinnings of Growth 104
18 Low-Growth Economies in the Developing World 112
19 Natural Resource Wealth and Growth 116
20 The Challenge for Small States 120
21 The Adding-Up Problem 122
Part 3 The Crisis and its Aftermath
22 Emerging Markets During and After the Global Crisis 131
23 Instability in the Global Economy and Lessons from the Crisis 140
24 Stimulus in the Crisis and the Need for Cooperative Behavior 148
25 Rebalancing the Global Economy and Its Consequences for Growth 150
26 The Excess-Savings Challenge in China 161
27 The Openness of the Global System and the WTO 166
28 Legacies of the Crisis: Slow Growth and Sovereign-Debt Issues in Advanced Countries 169
29 Periodic Systemic Risk and Investment Behavior 174
Part 4 The Future of Growth
30 Can the Emerging Economies Sustain High Growth? 187
31 China and India 191
32 China's Structural Challenges 194
33 India's Growth, Diversification, and Urbanization 199
34 Brazil's Growth Reset 203
35 Energy and Growth 206
36 The Challenge of Climate Change and Developing-Country Growth 209
37 Information Technology and the Integration of the Global Economy 222
38 European Integration and Transnational Governance 244
39 Global Governance in a Multispeed World 247
40 The G20, the Advanced Countries, and Global Growth 260
41 Sustaining Growth: The Second Half Century of Convergence 270
Notes 275
Index 283