Table of Contents
Introduction ix
Section 1 The Final Steps to War
Countdown to Conflict: The View from the War Department Henry L. Stimson 3
November 1941: The Intragovernmental Discussion of the War Danger Cordell Hull 20
Was the American Note of November 26 an Ultimatum? Joseph C. Grew 26
Section 2 Espionage
The Failure of American Espionage in Japan and Her Possessions Brigadier General Sherman Miles 35
The Effective Security Screen in Japan Itself Joseph C. Grew 46
An Idle Tale That Later Became Reality: The January 1941 Tokyo Rumor of an Attack on Pearl Harbor Joseph C. Grew 48
The Ease of Japanese Intelligence Gathering in Hawaii George W. Bicknell 53
Navy/FBI Hostility Over Rival Hawaiian Wiretaps Henry C. Clausen 62
Section 3 Radar: The Great Missed Opportunity
Prior American and British Development of Radar William E. G. Taylor 71
The Problem-Laden Construction of the Hawaiian Radar System Robert J. Fleming 84
The Sighting of the Japanese Planes George E. Elliott 93
The Handling of the Sighting by an Untrained Supervisor Kermit Tyler 110
Section 4 American Penetration of the Japanese Diplomatic Codes
The Origin and Work of "Magic" Arthur H. McCollum 121
Work Patterns in "Magic" Alwin D. Kramer 129
The Normal Distribution Pattern for "Magic" Laurence E. Safford 133
"Magic": An Exercise in Illegality! George C. Marshall 143
The War Warning "Winds" Execute: The One Witness Who Persisted in Asserting It Had Been Received Laurence F. Safford 145
Was Kramer Pressured to Alter His Testimony That the Winds Message Was Received? Alwin D. Kramer 186
FDR on the Final Prewar Diplomatic Intercept: "This Means War" Lester Robert Schulz 212
Did the Japanese Suspect Their Codes Were Broken? Theodore S. Wilkinson 220
Section 5 Evaluating the Pearl Harbor Commanders: Negligent, Malinformed by Their Superiors, or Just Plain Unlucky?
The Impressions, Priorities, and Dangers Implied by the Navy Department in Its Communications with Pearl Harbor Husband E. Kimmel 229
Did War Department Communications with the Army Commander in Hawaii Imply an Imminent Danger? Walter C. Short 255
The Rejected Proposal for an Additional Warning to Kimmel Arthur H. McCollum 268
The Scrambler Phone Controversy Walter C. Short Walter C. Phillips Carroll A. Powell George C. Marshall 275
Shortages of Military Equipment Walter C. Short 287
Army-Navy Cooperation at Pearl Harbor-and Its (Severe) Limits Husband E. Kimmel 294
War Drills Preparing for Conflict Henry T. Burgin 307
Why Military Aircraft Were Not Dispersed on the Ground Walter C. Short 317
The Lack of Sabotage at Pearl Harbor I. H. Mayfield 326
The Claim of Alcoholic Impairment of U.S. Service Personnel Melvin L. Craig 328
Submarine Contacts Just Outside Pearl Harbor on December 7 William W. Outerbridge 333
Why Were There No Torpedo Nets in Pearl Harbor? Harold R. Stark 339
Section 6 Other Pertinent Data
How the American Fleet Came to Be Permanently Based in Hawaii James O. Richardson 351
Wisdom of the Sea Route Chosen by the Japanese Richmond Kelly Turner 372
The Timing of the Japanese Attacks in the Pacific John Ford Baecher 376
The Effect of the Pearl Harbor Losses on the Course of the War Theodore S. Wilkinson 378
Rainbow 5: The Role of the Pacific Fleet Richard Kelly Turner 381
Section 7 The Index 389