Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers
The purpose of this book is to present concepts in a statistical treatment of risks. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the influence of random phenomena and gives a deeper knowledge of the possibilities offered by and algorithms found in certain software packages. Since Bayesian methods are frequently used in this field, a reasonable proportion of the presentation is devoted to such techniques. The text is written with student in mind – a student who has studied - ementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, may be incl- ing a minor course in statistics. Even though we use a style of presentation traditionally found in the math literature (including descriptions like de- itions, examples, etc.), emphasis is put on the understanding of the theory and methods presented; hence reasoning of an informal character is frequent. With respect to the contents (and its presentation), the idea has not been to write another textbook on elementary probability and statistics — there are plenty of such books — but to focus on applications within the field of risk and safety analysis. Each chapter ends with a section on exercises; short solutions are given in appendix. Especially in the first chapters, some exercises merely check basic concepts introduced, with no clearly attached application indicated. However, among the collection of exercises as a whole, the ambition has been to present problems of an applied character and to a great extent real data sets have been used when constructing the problems.
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Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers
The purpose of this book is to present concepts in a statistical treatment of risks. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the influence of random phenomena and gives a deeper knowledge of the possibilities offered by and algorithms found in certain software packages. Since Bayesian methods are frequently used in this field, a reasonable proportion of the presentation is devoted to such techniques. The text is written with student in mind – a student who has studied - ementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, may be incl- ing a minor course in statistics. Even though we use a style of presentation traditionally found in the math literature (including descriptions like de- itions, examples, etc.), emphasis is put on the understanding of the theory and methods presented; hence reasoning of an informal character is frequent. With respect to the contents (and its presentation), the idea has not been to write another textbook on elementary probability and statistics — there are plenty of such books — but to focus on applications within the field of risk and safety analysis. Each chapter ends with a section on exercises; short solutions are given in appendix. Especially in the first chapters, some exercises merely check basic concepts introduced, with no clearly attached application indicated. However, among the collection of exercises as a whole, the ambition has been to present problems of an applied character and to a great extent real data sets have been used when constructing the problems.
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Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers

Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers

Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers

Probability and Risk Analysis: An Introduction for Engineers

Paperback(Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2006)

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Overview

The purpose of this book is to present concepts in a statistical treatment of risks. Such knowledge facilitates the understanding of the influence of random phenomena and gives a deeper knowledge of the possibilities offered by and algorithms found in certain software packages. Since Bayesian methods are frequently used in this field, a reasonable proportion of the presentation is devoted to such techniques. The text is written with student in mind – a student who has studied - ementary undergraduate courses in engineering mathematics, may be incl- ing a minor course in statistics. Even though we use a style of presentation traditionally found in the math literature (including descriptions like de- itions, examples, etc.), emphasis is put on the understanding of the theory and methods presented; hence reasoning of an informal character is frequent. With respect to the contents (and its presentation), the idea has not been to write another textbook on elementary probability and statistics — there are plenty of such books — but to focus on applications within the field of risk and safety analysis. Each chapter ends with a section on exercises; short solutions are given in appendix. Especially in the first chapters, some exercises merely check basic concepts introduced, with no clearly attached application indicated. However, among the collection of exercises as a whole, the ambition has been to present problems of an applied character and to a great extent real data sets have been used when constructing the problems.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9783642063466
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Publication date: 11/09/2010
Edition description: Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2006
Pages: 281
Product dimensions: 6.10(w) x 9.25(h) x 0.24(d)

Table of Contents

Basic Probability.- Probabilities in Risk Analysis.- Distributions and Random Variables.- Fitting Distributions to Data – Classical Inference.- Conditional Distributions with Applications.- to Bayesian Inference.- Intensities and Poisson Models.- Failure Probabilities and Safety Indexes.- Estimation of Quantiles.- Design Loads and Extreme Values.
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