The Limits of Safety: Organizations, Accidents, and Nuclear Weapons

by Scott Douglas Sagan

Overview

Environmental tragedies such as Chernobyl and the Exxon Valdez remind us that catastrophic accidents are always possible in a world full of hazardous technologies. Yet, the apparently excellent safety record with nuclear weapons has led scholars, policy-makers, and the public alike to believe that nuclear arsenals can serve as a secure deterrent for the foreseeable future. In this provocative book, Scott Sagan challenges such optimism. Sagan's research into formerly classified archives penetrates the veil of safety that has surrounded U.S. nuclear weapons and reveals a hidden history of frightening "close calls" to disaster.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780691021010
Publisher:	Princeton University Press
Publication date:	01/29/1995
Series:	Princeton Studies in International History and Politics , #53
Pages:	302
Product dimensions:	7.75(w) x 10.00(h) x (d)

About the Author

Scott D. Sagan, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Stanford University, is the author of Moving Targets: Nuclear Strategy and National Security (Princeton).

Table of Contents

List of Figures and Tables

Acknowledgments

List of Acronyms

Introduction: Expecting the Unexpected

Ch. 1 The Origins of Accidents

Ch. 2 Nuclear Weapons Safety during the Cuban Missile Crisis

Ch. 3 Intelligence and Warning during the Cuban Missile Crisis

Ch. 4 Redundancy and Reliability: The 1968 Thule Bomber Accident

Ch. 5 Learning by Trial and Terror

Ch. 6 The Limits of Safety

Index

What People are Saying About This

Sills

Important and refreshing . . . ranges from the general theory of accidents to how-to-do-it suggestions for any nation's nuclear planners. It is a skilful blending of social, physical, organizational and military science and is highly recommended to readers in all four fields.
— David L. Sills, "Nature"

From the Publisher

"Important and refreshing . . . ranges from the general theory of accidents to how-to-do-it suggestions for any nation's nuclear planners. It is a skilful blending of social, physical, organizational and military science and is highly recommended to readers in all four fields."—David L. Sills, Nature

Editorial Reviews

"Sagan shows, both explicitly for nuclear weapons and implicitly for intellectual systems, that neither learning nor disasters are essentially matters of improving O-rings, safety procedures, or t-tests, as participants within those systems would like to believe. The primary adaptive action is offstage—in the background framework itself. And at that level, through sheer volume of its data, Sagan's book will shape the way that policymakers and we (with a little less confidence) understand the nuclear world."

Contemporary Sociology

Sagan's stories also drive a wooden stake through the heart of rational choice nuclear deterrence theory. This book will make you scared ... will make you hold your children a little tighter at the end of the day.

Sociological Forum - Lee Clarke

Scott Sagan's book is nothing less than a tour de force.... It is by far the most carefully researched and painstaking study of nuclear weapons safety ever written.

Security Studies - Bruce G. Blair

An extraordinary book.... Normal accidents theory and high reliability theory took the theory of accidents out of the hands of economists and engineers and put it into the hands of organization theorists; Sagan has brought that theory of accidents much closer to maturity.

Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management - Charles Perrow

Sagan's stories also drive a wooden stake through the heart of rational choice nuclear deterrence theory. This book will make you scared ... will make you hold your children a little tighter at the end of the day.
— Lee Clarke

Sociological Forum

Scott Sagan's book is nothing less than a tour de force.... It is by far the most carefully researched and painstaking study of nuclear weapons safety ever written.
— Bruce G. Blair

Security Studies

An extraordinary book.... Normal accidents theory and high reliability theory took the theory of accidents out of the hands of economists and engineers and put it into the hands of organization theorists; Sagan has brought that theory of accidents much closer to maturity.
— Charles Perrow

Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management

Winner of the 1993 Best Book Award, Science, Technology, and Environmental Studies Section of the American Political Science Association

"An extraordinary book.... Normal accidents theory and high reliability theory took the theory of accidents out of the hands of economists and engineers and put it into the hands of organization theorists; Sagan has brought that theory of accidents much closer to maturity."—-Charles Perrow, Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management

"Scott Sagan's book is nothing less than a tour de force.... It is by far the most carefully researched and painstaking study of nuclear weapons safety ever written."—-Bruce G. Blair, Security Studies

"Sagan's stories also drive a wooden stake through the heart of rational choice nuclear deterrence theory. This book will make you scared ... will make you hold your children a little tighter at the end of the day."—-Lee Clarke, Sociological Forum

From the Publisher

"Grounded in original research in U.S. national security archives, [Limits of Safety] reveals a disturbing history of near-catastrophes in the handling of nuclear weapons and bombers. . . . This book is a significant contribution to . . . international security studies, organizational theory, and risk analysis."

American Political Science Review