The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia
From former assistant secretary of state Kurt M. Campbell comes the definitive analysis and explanation of the new major shift in American foreign policy, its interests and assets, to Asia.

There is a quiet drama playing out in American foreign policy far from the dark contours of upheaval in the Middle East and South Asia and the hovering drone attacks of the war on terror. The United States is in the midst of a substantial and long-term national project, which is proceeding in fits and starts, to reorient its foreign policy to the East. The central tenet of this policy shift, aka the Pivot, is that the United States will need to do more with and in the Asia-Pacific hemisphere to help revitalize its own economy, to realize the full potential of the region's dramatic innovation, and to keep the peace in the world's most dynamic region where the lion's share of the history of the twenty-first century will be written.

This book is about a necessary course correction for American diplomacy, commercial engagement, and military innovation during a time of unrelenting and largely unrewarding conflict. While the United States has intensified its focus on the Asia-Pacific arena relative to previous administrations, much more remains to be done.

The Pivot is about that future. It explores how the United States should construct a strategy that will position it to maneuver across the East and offers a clarion call for cunning, dexterity, and ingenuity in the period ahead for American statecraft in the Asia-Pacific region.
1123299722
The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia
From former assistant secretary of state Kurt M. Campbell comes the definitive analysis and explanation of the new major shift in American foreign policy, its interests and assets, to Asia.

There is a quiet drama playing out in American foreign policy far from the dark contours of upheaval in the Middle East and South Asia and the hovering drone attacks of the war on terror. The United States is in the midst of a substantial and long-term national project, which is proceeding in fits and starts, to reorient its foreign policy to the East. The central tenet of this policy shift, aka the Pivot, is that the United States will need to do more with and in the Asia-Pacific hemisphere to help revitalize its own economy, to realize the full potential of the region's dramatic innovation, and to keep the peace in the world's most dynamic region where the lion's share of the history of the twenty-first century will be written.

This book is about a necessary course correction for American diplomacy, commercial engagement, and military innovation during a time of unrelenting and largely unrewarding conflict. While the United States has intensified its focus on the Asia-Pacific arena relative to previous administrations, much more remains to be done.

The Pivot is about that future. It explores how the United States should construct a strategy that will position it to maneuver across the East and offers a clarion call for cunning, dexterity, and ingenuity in the period ahead for American statecraft in the Asia-Pacific region.
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The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia

The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia

by Kurt Campbell
The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia

The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia

by Kurt Campbell

Hardcover

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Overview

From former assistant secretary of state Kurt M. Campbell comes the definitive analysis and explanation of the new major shift in American foreign policy, its interests and assets, to Asia.

There is a quiet drama playing out in American foreign policy far from the dark contours of upheaval in the Middle East and South Asia and the hovering drone attacks of the war on terror. The United States is in the midst of a substantial and long-term national project, which is proceeding in fits and starts, to reorient its foreign policy to the East. The central tenet of this policy shift, aka the Pivot, is that the United States will need to do more with and in the Asia-Pacific hemisphere to help revitalize its own economy, to realize the full potential of the region's dramatic innovation, and to keep the peace in the world's most dynamic region where the lion's share of the history of the twenty-first century will be written.

This book is about a necessary course correction for American diplomacy, commercial engagement, and military innovation during a time of unrelenting and largely unrewarding conflict. While the United States has intensified its focus on the Asia-Pacific arena relative to previous administrations, much more remains to be done.

The Pivot is about that future. It explores how the United States should construct a strategy that will position it to maneuver across the East and offers a clarion call for cunning, dexterity, and ingenuity in the period ahead for American statecraft in the Asia-Pacific region.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781455568956
Publisher: Grand Central Publishing
Publication date: 06/07/2016
Pages: 432
Product dimensions: 6.10(w) x 9.10(h) x 1.60(d)

About the Author

Kurt M. Campbell is chairman and chief executive officer of the Asia Group, LLC, and served as the assistant secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs at the Department of State from 2009 to 2013. For his service, he received the Secretary of State's Distinguished Service Award — the nation's highest diplomatic medal — and has been recognized with top national honors across Asia. He is chairman of the board at the Center for a New American Security, a non-resident fellow at Harvard's Belfer Center, on the board for Standard Chartered PLC, and is a member of the Aspen Strategy Group.

Dr. Campbell is the author or editor of ten books, including Difficult Transitions: Why Presidents Fail in Foreign Policy at the Outset of Power and Hard Power: The New Politics of National Security. He is married to Dr. Lael Brainard, governor on the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and former under secretary of Treasury for International Affairs. Together, they live in Washington, D.C. with their three daughters.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments xi

Preface: The Job Interview xv

Introduction 1

Chapter 1 The Pivot Defined: The Origins, Successes, and Critiques of an Asian Gambit 11

What's in a Name? 12

The Pivot in Action 13

Addressing Critiques of the Pivot 17

Conclusion 32

Chapter 2 The Stage for the Pivot: The Stakes and Dimensions of a Rising Asia 33

Facts and Figures

Population and Living Space 36

Poverty, Health, and Education 40

Urbanization, Sanitation, and Pollution 43

Economy 47

Infrastructure 52

Energy 56

Climate Change and Natural Disasters 59

Sector Deep Dives

Shipping 62

Defense Spending 65

Technology 69

Film Industry 72

The Art Market 75

Chapter 3 Patterns Preceding the Pivot: Historical Themes in American Ties to Asia 82

The Tyranny of Distance 84

Myth, Mockery, and Menace 87

To Sell a Million Shirts 95

To Save a Billion Souls 102

The Costs of Conflict 105

Secondary Theater 116

Short-Staffed 122

Democracy Promotion 128

Conclusion 132

Chapter 4 The Pivot's Antecedents: The Recurring Elements of American Strategy in Asia 134

The Persistent Features of Asia Strategy 135

The Inconsistent Application of Asia Strategy 138

Revising Asia Strategy for the Future 146

Conclusion 151

Chapter 5 The Pivot and the Asian Future: Guiding the Choices of a Changing Region 153

Hegemony or Balance 155

Twenty-First Century or Nineteenth 160

Stakeholders, Free Riders, or Spoilers 163

War or Peace 169

Democratic Advance or Retreat 188

Prosperity of Protectionism 191

Conclusion: Commitment or Retrenchment 195

Chapter 6 The Plan for the Pivot: Fashioning a Ten-Point American Strategy for Asia 197

Clarifying the Pivot and Mobilizing the Public 201

Bolstering and Integrating Alliances 203

Setting the Contours of China's Rise 230

Building Partnerships 251

Embracing Economic Statecraft 266

Engaging Regional Institutions 271

Diversifying Military Forces 277

Promoting Democratic Values 284

Strengthening People-to-People Ties 288

Involving European Partners 290

Conclusion 292

Chapter 7 Risks to the Pivot's Promise: Challenges to America's Asia Strategy 294

Fracturing Foreign Policy Consensus 295

Deadlock and Dysfunction 297

Inadequate Defense Spending 300

Retrenchment in the United States 303

Continuing Challenges in the Middle East 307

Longer-Term Planning 310

Developing Human Capital 312

Mutual Frustrations and Decoupling 314

Conclusion 316

Chapter 8 Implementing the Pivot: The Lessons of Modern Diplomacy 318

Twenty-first Century Diplomacy 318

The Balance of Power versus the Power of Balance 320

The Only Americans We Have 321

Working in the Garden 323

Making Maximum Efforts 324

Showing Up 326

"China Is a Big Country" 327

The Two-level Game Theory 328

Closing the Anecdote Gap 330

Strategic Dialogue 331

Thank You for Your Service 334

Conclusion 337

Notes 351

Index 385

About the Author 401

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