Tipping Point: Britain, Brexit and Security in the 2020s

by Helen Ramscar, Michael Clarke

Overview

Britain is facing big security challenges in the 2020s. The decade to come will not be as favourable as the two past decades. For a country as 'globalised' as Britain, security challenges cover a wide spectrum - from terrorism, international crime and cyber attack through to the prospects of war in its own continent or even, again, for its own survival. Brexit has entered these equations and turned them into a political tipping point, from which there is no hiding and no turning back.

Tipping Point looks at the immediate and long-term security challenges Britain faces - from security and foreign policy to the crisis of liberal democracy - as well as Britain's security capabilities.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781788319195
Publisher:	Bloomsbury Academic
Publication date:	11/28/2019
Pages:	328
Product dimensions:	6.14(w) x 9.21(h) x 0.69(d)

About the Author

Helen Ramscar is an Associate Fellow of the Royal United Services Institute. She has worked in the House of Commons, the Royal Household and the US Embassy in London. She is a graduate of Durham University, SOAS and Cass Business School.

Professor Michael Clarke was Director General of the Royal United Services Institute from 2007-2015, where he remains a Distinguished Fellow. He is an adviser to two Parliamentary Committees and Associate Director of the Strategy and Security Institute at the University of Exeter.

Table of Contents

List of illustrations vii

Introduction: The tipping point 1

Britain's long-term challenges 15

1 The geopolitical wheels 17

2 The global economic turmoil 33

3 The social revolution 48

4 The crisis of liberal democracy 60

Britain's immediate challenges 73

5 Dealing with the great powers 75

6 Securing from within 101

7 Facing global institutions 124

The Brexit challenge 143

8 The geopolitics of Brexit 145

9 Security and foreign policy 162

10 The meaning of 'global Britain' 178

Britain's security capabilities 193

11 Governmental capabilities - diplomacy, defence, intelligence and security 195

12 Societal capabilities - economics, finance and soft power 219

Conclusion: Strategic surge for the 2020s 235

13 A strategic surge 237

Notes 255

Select bibliography 295

Index 306

Editorial Reviews

The world is unstable and dangerous. Yet the UK's sense of future purpose and direction is unclear. There is little consensus, indeed the country is divided. This exceptional book makes a compelling and in some respects surprising case for a strategic surge, an innovative national strategy to guide us through the post-Brexit era. The UK must find a route through a gathering storm, and fast. To do this we need some statesmen and some old-fashioned honest statecraft. If those who have our future in their hands are uncertain about what to do, it's easy. Hire Mike Clarke and Helen Ramscar, fast.” —General The Lord Richards of Herstmonceux GCB, CBE, DSO, Chief of the Defence Staff, 2010-2013

“The authors brilliantly chart the road ahead to the Tipping Point: the Brexit end of a United Europe just as America's "moral leadership" becomes a void, and China fills the gap. They tell us with striking insight how to survive and get to the other side.” —Lord Saatchi, Former Conservative Party Chairman

“In a period of significant change in Britain, Clarke and Ramscar have outlined some of the key security challenges facing the United Kingdom in the coming decades. The questions raised in this book, as well as the authors' call for a new emphasis on long-term strategic thought, merit our attention.” —Henry A. Kissinger

“'Tipping Point' captures the core dilemma that faces Britain today: we once thought we knew who we were, how the world worked and our place in it - even if there were lean as well as better times - but now we have to understand that we are adrift and in peril. The political thinking, the instruments of power, and the alliances that kept Britain afloat for decades either no longer work or are running on fumes, and what lies ahead jeopardizes our security and prosperity unless major action is taken. Brexit is the prism through which this will be viewed, but Brexit is neither the cause nor the solution. Unless Britain now understands and accepts some uncomfortable truths, sets aside outmoded policy, capability and method, and invests leadership, energy and resources in resetting how it acts at home and on the world stage the prospects are poor. This book explains why and points to what must now be done.” —General Sir Richard Barrons, KCB CBE, Former Commander, Joint Forces Command and one of the Chiefs of Staff leading UK Armed Forces.

“For many of us who operate global enterprises out of the United States, we have long looked to London as a gateway to Europe. With the recent election confirming that Boris Johnson will lead Britain out of Europe early in 2020, that once dependable pathway will be blocked and the future of American business' relationship with Britain will hang in the balance. Tipping Point, clearly explains the forces at play and the challenges facing Britain today. This understanding of global economic pressures, social forces and security vulnerabilities provides an valuable guide. Tipping Point is a must read for business leaders who seek to understand an evolving, and potentially, deteriorating Britain.

Thankfully, in layman's language, experts Michael Clarke and Helen Ramscar have written a prescription for a restored, revitalized Britain. They call for the creation of a “strategic surge” in resources and the political will to stabilize Britain and give it the chance to return as a trusted partner in the wider world. I certainly hope Tipping Point is widely read by government leaders, business executives and anyone who wishes to understand Brexit, Britain and the future of European stability. More importantly, I hope the recommendations offered by Clarke and Ramscar are adopted. Much depends on it.” —Sally Susman, Executive Vice President, Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, Pfizer Inc

“Clarke and Ramscar provide a strong grounding on which to understand Britain's security futures and also to understand the challenges that face Britain well beyond Brexit. Looking at both the national and the global as well as the historical and the emergent, this book is written for both the scholar and the lay reader to inform and suggest the challenges that Britain faces and what it takes to find vigor in the face of them.” —Professor David Galbreath, University of Bath

From the Publisher