Data Mining and Predictive Analysis: Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis / Edition 1

by Colleen McCue Ph.D., Experimental Psychology

Overview

It is now possible to predict the future when it comes to crime. In Data Mining and Predictive Analysis, Dr. Colleen McCue describes not only the possibilities for data mining to assist law enforcement professionals, but also provides real-world examples showing how data mining has identified crime trends, anticipated community hot-spots, and refined resource deployment decisions. In this book Dr. McCue describes her use of "off the shelf" software to graphically depict crime trends and to predict where future crimes are likely to occur. Armed with this data, law enforcement executives can develop "risk-based deployment strategies," that allow them to make informed and cost-efficient staffing decisions based on the likelihood of specific criminal activity.

Knowledge of advanced statistics is not a prerequisite for using Data Mining and Predictive Analysis. The book is a starting point for those thinking about using data mining in a law enforcement setting. It provides terminology, concepts, practical application of these concepts, and examples to highlight specific techniques and approaches in crime and intelligence analysis, which law enforcement and intelligence professionals can tailor to their own unique situation and responsibilities.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780750677967
Publisher:	Elsevier Science
Publication date:	09/15/2006
Edition description:	New Edition
Pages:	368
Product dimensions:	7.50(w) x 9.25(h) x (d)

About the Author

Dr. Colleen McCue is the Senior Director of Social Science and Quantitative Methods at DigitalGlobe. Her areas of expertise within , in the applied public safety and national security environment include the application of data mining and predictive analytics to the analysis of crime and intelligence data, with particular emphasis on deployment strategies; surveillance detection; threat and vulnerability assessment; geospatial predictive analytics; computational modeling and visualization of human behavior; Human, Social, Culture and Behavior (HSCB) modeling and analysis; crisis and conflict mapping; and the behavioral analysis of violent crime in support of anticipation and influence.

Table of Contents

Introductory Section
Chapter 1: Basics
Chapter 2: Domain Expertise
Chapter 3: Data mining

Methods
Chapter 4: Process Models for Data Mining and Analysis
Chapter 5: Data
Chapter 6: Operationally-relevant preprocessing
Chapter 7: Identification, Characterization and Modeling
Chapter 8: Evaluation
Chapter 9: Operationally-Actionable Output

Applications
Chapter 10: “Normal” Crime
Chapter 11: Behavioral Analysis of Violent Crime
Chapter 12: Risk and Threat Assessment

Case Examples
Chapter 13: Deployment
Chapter 14: Surveillance Detection

Advanced Concepts and Future Trends
Chapter 15: Advanced Concepts in Data Mining
Chapter 16: Future Trends

What People are Saying About This

From the Publisher

Cuts through technical language to provide an ideal primer for those looking to use data mining in crime and intelligence analysis.

Editorial Reviews

"...presents a comprehensive overview of the field of predictive analysis as it is primarily applied to crime analysis, where it is an established law enforcement intelligence practice with great success…" —Journal of Counterterrorism and Homeland Security International

"[Data Mining and Predictive Analysis, First Edition] is a must-read..., blending analytical horsepower with real-life operational examples...Understandable yet detailed, [Data Mining and Predictive Analysis] puts forth a solid argument for integrating predictive analytics into action. Not just for analysts!" —Tim King, Director, Special Programs and Global Business Development, ArmorGroup International Training

From the Publisher