Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks

by Bilal M. Ayyub

Overview

Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, w

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781040064054
Publisher:	CRC Press
Publication date:	06/27/2001
Sold by:	Barnes & Noble
Format:	eBook
Pages:	328
File size:	3 MB

Table of Contents

Knowledge and Ignorance. Information-Based System Definition. Experts, Opinions, and Elicitation Methods. Expressing and Modeling Expert Opinions. Consensus and Aggregating Expert Opinions. Guidance on Expert-Opinion Elicitation. Applications of Expert-Opinion Elicitation.

Editorial Reviews

A textbook for a course or for self-learning to teach future and practicing analysts, engineers, and scientists the fundamentals of knowledge and ignorance, how to elicit expert opinions, how to select appropriate expressions of these opinions, and how to aggregate the opinions. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR