FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Sluchajnost', udacha, shans, neopredelennost', veroyatnost', chelovecheskie oshibki, risk i prinyatie reshenij v mire, kotoryj my ne ponimaem, — neischerpaemye v svoej mnogogrannosti temy, kotorye issleduet uspeshnyj trejder, matematik i filosof Nassim Taleb, podgotavlivaya nas k dostojnoj vstreche licom k licu s vyzovami i nepredvidennymi sobytiyami lyubogo roda. «Veroyatnost' — eto ne stol'ko vychislenie shansov pri brosanii kostej, skol'ko priznanie nedostatka opredelennosti v nashih znaniyah i razvitie metodov obrashcheniya s nashim nevedeniem. Za predelami uchebnikov i kazino veroyatnost' pochti nikogda ne predstaet v vide matematicheskoj zadachi ili zagadki dlya uma. Mat'-priroda ne skazhet vam, skol'ko lunok est' na stole dlya igry v ruletku, da i zadachi ona formuliruet ne v tom stile, kotoryj prinyat v uchebnikah (v real'nom mire prihoditsya iskat' problemu, a ne reshenie). Veroyatnostnoe myshlenie, lezhashchee v osnove etoj knigi, predpolagaet, chto, esli by osushchestvilis' al'ternativnye iskhody, mir byl by drugim». (Nassim Nikolas Taleb)
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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Sluchajnost', udacha, shans, neopredelennost', veroyatnost', chelovecheskie oshibki, risk i prinyatie reshenij v mire, kotoryj my ne ponimaem, — neischerpaemye v svoej mnogogrannosti temy, kotorye issleduet uspeshnyj trejder, matematik i filosof Nassim Taleb, podgotavlivaya nas k dostojnoj vstreche licom k licu s vyzovami i nepredvidennymi sobytiyami lyubogo roda. «Veroyatnost' — eto ne stol'ko vychislenie shansov pri brosanii kostej, skol'ko priznanie nedostatka opredelennosti v nashih znaniyah i razvitie metodov obrashcheniya s nashim nevedeniem. Za predelami uchebnikov i kazino veroyatnost' pochti nikogda ne predstaet v vide matematicheskoj zadachi ili zagadki dlya uma. Mat'-priroda ne skazhet vam, skol'ko lunok est' na stole dlya igry v ruletku, da i zadachi ona formuliruet ne v tom stile, kotoryj prinyat v uchebnikah (v real'nom mire prihoditsya iskat' problemu, a ne reshenie). Veroyatnostnoe myshlenie, lezhashchee v osnove etoj knigi, predpolagaet, chto, esli by osushchestvilis' al'ternativnye iskhody, mir byl by drugim». (Nassim Nikolas Taleb)
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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
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