Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Economists and the governments they advise have based their macroeconomic policies on the idea of a natural rate of unemployment. Government policy that pushes the rate below this point—about 6 percent—is apt to trigger an accelerating rate of inflation that is hard to reverse, or so the argument goes. In this book, Storm and Naastepad make a strong case that this concept is flawed: that a stable non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), independent of macroeconomic policy, does not exist. Consequently, government decisions based on the NAIRU are not only misguided but have huge and avoidable social costs, namely, high unemployment and sustained inequality.

Skillfully merging theoretical and empirical analysis, Storm and Naastepad show how the NAIRU’s neglect of labor’s impact on technological change and productivity growth eclipses the many positive contributions that labor and its regulation make to economic performance. When these positive effects are taken into account, the authors contend, a more humane policy becomes feasible, one that would enhance productivity and technological progress while maintaining profits, thus creating conditions for low unemployment and wider equality.

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Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Economists and the governments they advise have based their macroeconomic policies on the idea of a natural rate of unemployment. Government policy that pushes the rate below this point—about 6 percent—is apt to trigger an accelerating rate of inflation that is hard to reverse, or so the argument goes. In this book, Storm and Naastepad make a strong case that this concept is flawed: that a stable non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), independent of macroeconomic policy, does not exist. Consequently, government decisions based on the NAIRU are not only misguided but have huge and avoidable social costs, namely, high unemployment and sustained inequality.

Skillfully merging theoretical and empirical analysis, Storm and Naastepad show how the NAIRU’s neglect of labor’s impact on technological change and productivity growth eclipses the many positive contributions that labor and its regulation make to economic performance. When these positive effects are taken into account, the authors contend, a more humane policy becomes feasible, one that would enhance productivity and technological progress while maintaining profits, thus creating conditions for low unemployment and wider equality.

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Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

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Overview

Economists and the governments they advise have based their macroeconomic policies on the idea of a natural rate of unemployment. Government policy that pushes the rate below this point—about 6 percent—is apt to trigger an accelerating rate of inflation that is hard to reverse, or so the argument goes. In this book, Storm and Naastepad make a strong case that this concept is flawed: that a stable non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), independent of macroeconomic policy, does not exist. Consequently, government decisions based on the NAIRU are not only misguided but have huge and avoidable social costs, namely, high unemployment and sustained inequality.

Skillfully merging theoretical and empirical analysis, Storm and Naastepad show how the NAIRU’s neglect of labor’s impact on technological change and productivity growth eclipses the many positive contributions that labor and its regulation make to economic performance. When these positive effects are taken into account, the authors contend, a more humane policy becomes feasible, one that would enhance productivity and technological progress while maintaining profits, thus creating conditions for low unemployment and wider equality.


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780674063242
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Publication date: 01/02/2012
Sold by: Barnes & Noble
Format: eBook
Pages: 304
File size: 5 MB

About the Author

Servaas Storm is Senior Lecturer in Economics at Delft University of Technology.

Table of Contents

Contents

1. The Power of Ideas

2. The Weakness of the Evidence

3. A Growth Model

4. The OECD Productivity Regime

5. OECD Demand Regimes

6. The Generalization of the NAIRU Theory

7. Europe’s Nordic Model

8. Macroeconomics Beyond the NAIRU

Appendix: Data Sources

Notes

Bibliography

Index

What People are Saying About This

Jayati Ghosh

A fascinating and important book on macroeconomic theory and practice--a voice of sanity in uncertain times.
Jayati Ghosh, Jawaharlal Nehru University

Lance Taylor

The authors mount a powerful argument against the intellectual hegemony of NAIRU doctrine--an argument especially important in the wake of the economic crisis. Their case is strengthened by clear writing and coherent analysis of the data.

Lance Taylor, New School for Social Research

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