Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies
Does economic size matter for economic development outcomes? If so are current policies adequately addressing the role of size in the development process? Using working age population as a proxy for country size, Open and Nimble, systematically analyzes what makes small economies unique. Small economies are not necessarily prone to underdevelopment and in fact can achieve very high income levels. Small economies, however, do tend to be highly open to both international trade and foreign direct investment, have highly specialized export structures, and have large government expenditures relative to their Gross Domestic Product. The export structures of small economies are concentrated in a few products or services and in a small number of export destinations. In turn, this export concentration is associated with terms of trade volatility, which combined with high exposure to international trade, implies that small economies tend to face more volatility on average as external volatility permeates national economic life. Yet small economies tend to compensate for their export concentration by being nimble in the sense of being able to change their production and export structure relatively quickly over time. Moreover, limited territory plays a role in shaping how economies are affected by natural disasters, even when the probability of facing such disasters is not necessarily higher among small than among large economies. The combination of large governments with macroeconomic volatility seems to be associated with low national savings rates in small economies. This combination could be a challenge for long-term growth if productivity growth and foreign investment do not compensate for low domestic savings. The book finishes with some thoughts on how policy makers can respond to these issues through coordinated investments and regional integration efforts, as well as fiscal policy reforms aimed at both increasing public savings and conducting countercyclical fiscal policies.
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Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies
Does economic size matter for economic development outcomes? If so are current policies adequately addressing the role of size in the development process? Using working age population as a proxy for country size, Open and Nimble, systematically analyzes what makes small economies unique. Small economies are not necessarily prone to underdevelopment and in fact can achieve very high income levels. Small economies, however, do tend to be highly open to both international trade and foreign direct investment, have highly specialized export structures, and have large government expenditures relative to their Gross Domestic Product. The export structures of small economies are concentrated in a few products or services and in a small number of export destinations. In turn, this export concentration is associated with terms of trade volatility, which combined with high exposure to international trade, implies that small economies tend to face more volatility on average as external volatility permeates national economic life. Yet small economies tend to compensate for their export concentration by being nimble in the sense of being able to change their production and export structure relatively quickly over time. Moreover, limited territory plays a role in shaping how economies are affected by natural disasters, even when the probability of facing such disasters is not necessarily higher among small than among large economies. The combination of large governments with macroeconomic volatility seems to be associated with low national savings rates in small economies. This combination could be a challenge for long-term growth if productivity growth and foreign investment do not compensate for low domestic savings. The book finishes with some thoughts on how policy makers can respond to these issues through coordinated investments and regional integration efforts, as well as fiscal policy reforms aimed at both increasing public savings and conducting countercyclical fiscal policies.
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Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies

Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies

Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies

Open and Nimble: Finding Stable Growth in Small Economies

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Overview

Does economic size matter for economic development outcomes? If so are current policies adequately addressing the role of size in the development process? Using working age population as a proxy for country size, Open and Nimble, systematically analyzes what makes small economies unique. Small economies are not necessarily prone to underdevelopment and in fact can achieve very high income levels. Small economies, however, do tend to be highly open to both international trade and foreign direct investment, have highly specialized export structures, and have large government expenditures relative to their Gross Domestic Product. The export structures of small economies are concentrated in a few products or services and in a small number of export destinations. In turn, this export concentration is associated with terms of trade volatility, which combined with high exposure to international trade, implies that small economies tend to face more volatility on average as external volatility permeates national economic life. Yet small economies tend to compensate for their export concentration by being nimble in the sense of being able to change their production and export structure relatively quickly over time. Moreover, limited territory plays a role in shaping how economies are affected by natural disasters, even when the probability of facing such disasters is not necessarily higher among small than among large economies. The combination of large governments with macroeconomic volatility seems to be associated with low national savings rates in small economies. This combination could be a challenge for long-term growth if productivity growth and foreign investment do not compensate for low domestic savings. The book finishes with some thoughts on how policy makers can respond to these issues through coordinated investments and regional integration efforts, as well as fiscal policy reforms aimed at both increasing public savings and conducting countercyclical fiscal policies.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781464810435
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Publication date: 10/25/2017
Series: Directions in Development
Sold by: INDEPENDENT PUB GROUP - EPUB - EBKS
Format: eBook
Pages: 132
File size: 11 MB
Note: This product may take a few minutes to download.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments ix

About the Authors xi

Abbreviations xiii

Chapter 1 Introduction 1

Note 5

Chapter 2 What Is a Small Economy? 7

What Is a "Small" Economy? 7

Differences in Economic Orientation among Small Economies in LAC 8

Economic Size and Its Relationship with Growth Outcomes 11

Notes 16

References 16

Chapter 3 In Search of Scale Economies with International Data 19

Literature on Economies of Scale 19

Economies of Scale in Trade Patterns 21

Scale Economics in Spillovers from Foreign Direct Investment? 31

Evidence of Scale Economies in Government 35

Notes 40

References 41

Chapter 4 Implications for Economic Outcomes 43

External Economic Volatility 44

Higher Relative Costs of Natural Disasters 57

Fiscal Challenges in the Context of Fixed Exchange Rates 61

Low Savings Rates 68

Notes 72

References 74

Chapter 5 Open and Nimble: How Small Economies Adapt to Their Economic Challenges 77

Openness to Trade and Investment 77

Nimbleness: Diversification Over Time 80

Emigration and Remittances 83

Notes 90

References 90

Chapter 6 Policy Implications 93

Economic Characteristics of Small Economies 93

Policy Solutions 95

Concluding Thoughts 103

Notes 104

References 104

Appendix A Distribution of Labor Force Size in Latin America and the Caribbean 107

Figures

2.1 Export Value Decomposition for Small Economics in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2014 9

2.2 Differing Long-Term Growth Trends in Small Economies in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1981-2013 10

2.3 LAC Labor Force Size in 2013 12

2.4 GDP per Capita PPP Levels in LAC, 2013 13

2.5 Long-Run Growth Rates in LAC, 1970-2013 14

3.1 Number of Export Product Lines, 1995-2013 22

3.2 Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, 1995-2013 23

3.3 Relationship between Size and Openness 24

3.4 Relationship between Openness and Number of Export Lines 25

3.5 Partial Correlation between Size and Number of Export Lines, Controlling for Openness 26

3.6 Partial Correlation between Openness and Number of Export Lines, Controlling for Size 27

3.7 Number of Export Markets, 1995-2013 28

3.8 Hertindahl-Hirschman Index Export Markets, 1995-2013 29

3.9 Share of Exports in Increasing Returns to Scale Products, 1995-2013 30

3.10 Backward Linkages Increase with Size 32

3.11 Effects of Different Sectors on the Propensity to Form Backward Linkages 33

3.12 Partial Correlation between Backward Linkages and Labor Force Size, Controlling for Average Years of Education Attained 34

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