False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947
A definitive history of the United States’ recovery from the Great Depression—and the New Deal's true part in it.

FDR’s New Deal has long enjoyed a special place in American history and policy—both because it redefined the government’s fundamental responsibilities and because Roosevelt’s “bold experimentation” represented a type of policymaking many would like to see repeated.

But “the thing about bold experiments,” economist George Selgin reminds us, “is that they often fail.” In False Dawn Selgin draws on both contemporary sources and numerous studies by economic historians to show that, although steps taken during the Roosevelt administration’s first days raised hopes of a speedy recovery from the Great Depression, instead of fulfilling those hopes, subsequent New Deal policies proved so counterproductive that over seventeen percent of American workers—more than the peak unemployment rate during the COVID-19 crisis—were still either unemployed or on work relief six years later.

By distinguishing the New Deal’s successes from its failures, and explaining how the U.S. finally managed to lay the specter of mass unemployment to rest, Selgin draws salient lessons for dealing with future recessions.

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False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947
A definitive history of the United States’ recovery from the Great Depression—and the New Deal's true part in it.

FDR’s New Deal has long enjoyed a special place in American history and policy—both because it redefined the government’s fundamental responsibilities and because Roosevelt’s “bold experimentation” represented a type of policymaking many would like to see repeated.

But “the thing about bold experiments,” economist George Selgin reminds us, “is that they often fail.” In False Dawn Selgin draws on both contemporary sources and numerous studies by economic historians to show that, although steps taken during the Roosevelt administration’s first days raised hopes of a speedy recovery from the Great Depression, instead of fulfilling those hopes, subsequent New Deal policies proved so counterproductive that over seventeen percent of American workers—more than the peak unemployment rate during the COVID-19 crisis—were still either unemployed or on work relief six years later.

By distinguishing the New Deal’s successes from its failures, and explaining how the U.S. finally managed to lay the specter of mass unemployment to rest, Selgin draws salient lessons for dealing with future recessions.

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False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947

False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947

by George Selgin
False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947

False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947

by George Selgin

Hardcover(First Edition)

$35.00 
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Overview

A definitive history of the United States’ recovery from the Great Depression—and the New Deal's true part in it.

FDR’s New Deal has long enjoyed a special place in American history and policy—both because it redefined the government’s fundamental responsibilities and because Roosevelt’s “bold experimentation” represented a type of policymaking many would like to see repeated.

But “the thing about bold experiments,” economist George Selgin reminds us, “is that they often fail.” In False Dawn Selgin draws on both contemporary sources and numerous studies by economic historians to show that, although steps taken during the Roosevelt administration’s first days raised hopes of a speedy recovery from the Great Depression, instead of fulfilling those hopes, subsequent New Deal policies proved so counterproductive that over seventeen percent of American workers—more than the peak unemployment rate during the COVID-19 crisis—were still either unemployed or on work relief six years later.

By distinguishing the New Deal’s successes from its failures, and explaining how the U.S. finally managed to lay the specter of mass unemployment to rest, Selgin draws salient lessons for dealing with future recessions.


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780226832937
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Publication date: 04/15/2025
Series: Markets and Governments in Economic History
Edition description: First Edition
Pages: 384
Product dimensions: 6.20(w) x 9.20(h) x 1.20(d)

About the Author

George Selgin is professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia and a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives. His writings have appeared in the Economic Journal, Financial Times, and the Wall Street Journal. His most recent book is The Menace of Fiscal QE.

Table of Contents

List of Illustrations
Preface

Part I: Groundwork
1. The Record
2. Inventing the New Deal
3. The Banking Crisis
4. The Bank Holiday
5. Deposit Insurance
6. The RFC, Part 1
7. FDR and Gold

Part II: The New Deal
8. The AAA
9. The NRA
10. The NRA, Coda: The Brookings Report
11. A New Deal for Housing
12. The RFC, Part 2
13. Fiscal Stimulus?
14. FDR’s Fed
15. The Recovery So Far
16. The Roosevelt Recession
17. The Keynesian Myth
18. The Keynesian Myth, Continued
19. Fear Itself
20. Fear Itself, Continued

Part III: After the New Deal
21. War, and Peace
22. The Phantom Depression
23. The Fate of Rosie the Riveter
24. Happy Days
25. Postwar Monetary Policy
26. The Great Rapprochement
Notes
References
Index
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