The world is changing in ways most of us find incomprehensible. Terrorism spills out of the Middle East into Europe. Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China and Japan vie to see who can be most aggressive. Financial breakdown in Asia and Europe guts growth, challenging hard-won political stability.
Yet for the Americans, these changes are fantastic. Alone among the world’s powers, only the United States is geographically wealthy, demographically robust, and energy secure. That last piece -- American energy security -- is rapidly emerging as the most critical piece of the global picture.
The American shale revolution does more than sever the largest of the remaining ties that bind America’s fate to the wider world. It re-industrializes the United States, accelerates the global order’s breakdown, and triggers a series of wide ranging military conflicts that will shape the next two decades. The common theme? Just as the global economy tips into chaos, just as global energy becomes dangerous, just as the world really needs the Americans to be engaged, the United States will be…absent.
In 2014’s The Accidental Superpower, geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan made the case that geographic, demographic and energy trends were unravelling the global system. Zeihan takes the story a step further in The Absent Superpower, mapping out the threats and opportunities as the world descends into Disorder.
|Publisher:||Zeihan on Geopolitics|
|Product dimensions:||6.40(w) x 8.80(h) x 1.30(d)|
About the Author
Zeihan founded his own firm -- Zeihan on Geopolitics -- in 2012 in order to provide a select group of clients with direct, custom analytical products. Today those clients represent a vast array of sectors including energy majors, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities and the U.S. military. Prior to his independent life, Zeihan put in stints at the U.S. State Department, the DC think tank community, and Stratfor, one of the world's premier private intelligence companies, where he served as vice president of analysis.
He regularly contributes to a wide array of media including the New York Times, the Washington Post, Forbes, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, CNN, CNBC, Fox News, National Public Radio, Market-Watch, and others.
His freshman book, The Accidental Superpower, debuted in 2014.
Table of ContentsContents
INTRODUCTION The Journey to The Absent Superpower vii
PART I: Shale New World
CHAPTER 1 The First Shale Revolution 15
CHAPTER 2 The Second Shale Revolution 25
CHAPTER 3 The Third Shale Revolution 52
CHAPTER 4 Energy with an American Accent 70
PART II: The Disorder
CHAPTER 5 The End of the (Old) World 93
CHAPTER 6 The Twilight War 132
CHAPTER 7 The (Next) Gulf War 169
CHAPTER 8 The Tanker War 212
CHAPTER 9 The Sweet Sixteen 261
CHAPTER 10 It's a Supermajor World 276
PART III: The American Play
CHAPTER 11 Tools of the Trade 305
CHAPTER 12 Dollar Diplomacy in Southeast Asia 327
CHAPTER 13 Dollar Diplomacy in Latin America 342
CHAPTER 14 Shale New World 380
APPENDIX I Shale and the Changing Face of Climate Change 383
APPENDIX II Other Shale Concerns 397
APPENDIX III Oil and Natural Gas Data 403