Chance in the World: A Humean Guide to Objective Chance

Probability has fascinated philosophers, scientists, and mathematicians for hundreds of years. Although the mathematics of probability is, for most applications, clear and uncontroversial, the interpretation of probability statements continues to be fraught with controversy and confusion. What does it mean to say that the probability of some event X occurring is 31%?

In the 20th century a consensus emerged that there are at least two legitimate kinds of probability, and correspondingly at l...