Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for a Post-Pandemic Future

Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for a Post-Pandemic Future

by Lance Mortlock
Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for a Post-Pandemic Future

Disaster Proof: Scenario Planning for a Post-Pandemic Future

by Lance Mortlock


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Nothing has rocked the foundations of the world, including the business world, more than the COVID- 19 pandemic. As businesses struggle and often flounder to cope, many business leaders are wondering how to deal with the unpredictable. How do you plan for something you can’t predict? Strategist Lance Mortlock says you can, and you should. In this practical and accessible guide, Mortlock shows how scenario planning can identify risks and uncertainties, and predict a variety of different realities that will affect the future of any organization. He gives business leaders the tools to understand the forces emerging in a volatile, rapidly changing world so organizations are better prepared than their competitors to deal with them. This guide can be used by industries, the military, even governments, and, if executed properly, it will prepare leaders for every kind of unexpected challenge, from dramatic changes in commodity prices to wars and terrorist attacks and even pandemics. This book will help business leaders gain an earlier view of long-term forces that will affect their organizations performance, and be better prepared for future disasters on the scale of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781988025612
Publisher: Barlow Publishing
Publication date: 04/28/2021
Pages: 260
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.90(d)

About the Author

Lance Mortlock is a strategy partner with Ernst & Young (EY), based in Calgary. He has provided management consulting services over 125 projects to a variety of clients across the globe, including Oman, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Malaysia, Norway, Holland, Kazakhstan, Scotland, England, the United States, Brazil, and Canada. He’s worked with leading national and international energy and utility companies, as well as energy regulators, governments, LNG, oil field service, and pipeline companies. As a strategist, Mortlock is an expert in energy industry trends and market dynamics.

Table of Contents

Introduction ix

Chapter 1 What Is Scenario Planning? 1

Chapter 2 Complexity and Uncertainty Explained 17

Chapter 3 Step-by-Step Guide to Scenario Planning 49

Chapter 4 Levels of Application 85

Chapter 5 The Eight Benefits of Scenario Planning 119

Chapter 6 Critical Roles to Drive Success 153

Chapter 7 Evolution of Scenario Planning Using Artificial Intelligence 185

Conclusion 223

Notes 239

Acknowledgements 257

Index 259

About the Author 271

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