Everything Is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer

By understanding how and when common sense fails, we can improve our understanding of the present and better plan for the future.*

Drawing on the latest scientific research, along with a wealth of historical and contemporary examples, Watts shows how common sense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into believing that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in turn, why attempts to predict, manage, or manipulate social and economic systems so often go aw...