Forecasting Nuclear Proliferation in the 21st Century: Volume 1 The Role of Theory

In 2007, the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) at the Monterey Institute of International Studies engaged a group of leading scholars and practitioners in a two-year research project, with a mandate to combine cutting-edge social science theory and country/area studies expertise for the purpose of forecasting proliferation developments in twelve key states-both "the usual suspects" and some states under the nonproliferation radar.

The output from that project has been ga...