The Mispricing Game Systematic Edge in Kalshi Soccer Contracts
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A systematic framework for identifying pricing inefficiencies in Kalshi soccer contracts.
Kalshi's soccer markets are not sportsbooks. They are exchange-based contracts where prices are set by traders, not by odds-makers. The Mispricing Game explains how these prices repeatedly drift away from true probability, where those gaps form, and how disciplined traders can extract edge without predicting match outcomes.
Soccer is uniquely suited to mispricing. Low-scoring variance, three-outcome matc...



