Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard "collection of proceedings". This therefore is the first unified reference ‘textbook’ in seasonal to interannual climate predictions and their practical uses. Written by some of the world’s leading experts, the book covers a rapidly-developing science of prime social concern.
Table of ContentsPreface.- List of Contributors.- List of Participants.- Part 1. Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Context.- Chapter 1. Introduction; M. Harrison et al..- Chapter 2. Seasonal Forecasts in Decision Making; M. Harrison et al.- Part 2. The Production of Seasonal Climate Forecasts.- Chapter 3. Overview of Seasonal Forecasting; D.L. Anderson.- Chapter 4. Ocean-Atmosphere Basis for Seasonal Climate Forecasting; B. Hoskins, P. Schopf.- Chapter 5. Getting the Coupled Model Ready at the Starting Blocks; J. Tribbia, A. Troccoli.- Chapter 6. Modelling the Atmospheric, Oceanic and Coupled System; B. Hoskins et al.- Chapter 7. Statistical Modelling; S.J. Mason, O. Baddour.- Part 3. Calibration and Assessment of Seasonal Climate Forecasts.- Chapter 8. From Dynamical Model Predictions to Seasonal Climate Forecasts; S.J. Mason.- Chapter 9. An Introduction to Probability Forecasting; D.B. Stephenson.- Chapter 10. How do we know whether Seasonal Climate Forecasts are any good? S.J. Mason, D.B. .Stephenson.- Part 4. Developing Successful Application Strategies.- Chapter 11. Communicating Seasonal Forecasts; M. Harrison, J.B. Williams.- Chapter 12. Building National and Specialised Climate Services; J. Bellow et al.- Chapter 13. Water, Health and Early Warnings; Y. Abawi et al.- Part 5. The Future of Seasonal Climate Forecasting.- Chapter 14. A Way Forward for Seasonal Climate Services; M. Harrison et al.- Acronyms.- Glossary of Terms.- References.- Suggested further Reading.- Index.-