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The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

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Named a Best Book of the Year by Forbes and The Economist


“Valuable and rare.” —Economist


From our "greatest living statistical communicator" (Tim Harford) comes an invaluable, data-driven guide for understanding—and learning to embrace—risk and uncertainty in our daily lives.

How dangerous is our diet? How much of sports falls into the realm of luck? When authorities categorize a given event as “highly likely”—how likely is that, really? Whether we’re trying to decide if the benefits of a n...