Which World?: Scenarios for the 21st Century

Which World?: Scenarios for the 21st Century



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Which World?: Scenarios for the 21st Century by Allen Hammond, Hammond Allen

<p>In Which World?, scientist Allen Hammond imaginatively probes the consequences of present social, economic, and environmental trends to construct three possible worlds that could await us in the twenty-first century: Market World, in which economic and human progress is driven by the liberating power of free markets and human initiative; Fortress World, in which unattended social and environmental problems diminish progress, dooming hundreds of millions of humans to lives of rising conflict and violence; and Transformed World, in which human ingenuity and compassion succeed in offering a better life, not just a wealthier one, and in seeking to extend those benefits to all of humanity.<p>"Hammond's credo, 'to envision the future we want and then set about making it happen,' is a thinking person's call to arms. ..... By bringing together an ambitious set of data, lively scenarios, and provocative claims, Hammond seeks to reorient and reenergize public conversation about sustainable development and the strategies of peoples and institutions. It is a vital conversation, and this is a notable contribution to it." Kai N. Lee, Environmen.<p>"Hammond offers an excellent contribution to the growing literature on the human predicament and the challenge of sustaining the Earth's legacy. The book will open the eyes of the ignorant, and fulfill its purpose of stimulating further thought and action." Carl Folke, Scienc.<p>"In Which World?, Allen Hammond offers both knowledge and vision. He presents a lucid and incisive guide to the trends with which we have to work, and the possibilities they offer." Stephen Schmidheiny, founder of the World Business Council for Sustainable Developmen.<p>"Fascinating and thought-provoking." Library Journal

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781559635752
Publisher: Island Press
Publication date: 06/28/1998
Pages: 318
Product dimensions: 6.31(w) x 9.24(h) x 1.06(d)

Table of Contents

PART I. Looking Ahead
Chapter 1. Thinking About the Future
Chapter 2. The Power of Scenarios
PART II. Three Word Views
Chapter 3. Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
Chapter 4. Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
Chapter 5. Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
PART III. Trends that Shape Our Future
Chapter 6. Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
Chapter 7. Critical Environmental Trends
Chapter 8. Critical Security Trends
Chapter 9. Critical Social and Political Trends
PART IV. Regional Choices
Chapter 10. Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
Chapter 11. China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
Chapter 12. India: A Second Independence?
Chapter 13. Sub-saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
Chapter 14. North Africa and The Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
Chapter 15. Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
Chapter 16. North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
PART V. Global Destinies
Chapter 17. Choosing Our Future

Which World? On-line: A Hyperforum on the Future

Appendix: Regions And Projections: The Details

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