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Cambridge University Press
Simplicity, Inference and Modelling: Keeping it Sophisticatedly Simple

Simplicity, Inference and Modelling: Keeping it Sophisticatedly Simple

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The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor. A problem with Ockham's Razor is that nearly everybody seems to accept it, but few are able to define its exact meaning and to make it operational in a non-arbitrary way. Using a multidisciplinary perspective including philosophers, mathematicians, econometricians and economists, this monograph examines simplicity by asking six questions: What is meant by simplicity? How is simplicity measured? Is there an optimum trade-off between simplicity and goodness-of-fit? What is the relation between simplicity and empirical modelling? What is the relation between simplicity and prediction? What is the connection between simplicity and convenience?

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780521121354
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Publication date: 10/15/2009
Edition description: New Edition
Pages: 316
Sales rank: 658,485
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 0.90(d)

Table of Contents

1. The importance of simplicity in theory and practice A. Zellner, H. A. Keuzenkamp and M. McAleer; 2. What is the problem of simplicity? E. Sober; 3 Science seeks parsimony - not simplicity searching for pattern in phenomena H. Simon; 4. A macroeconomic approach to complexity M. Boumans; 5. The new science of simplicity M. R. Forster; 6. What explains complexity? B. Hamminga; 7. Occam's bonus A. W. F. Edwards; 8. Simplicity, information, Kolmogorov complexity, and prediction P. Vitanyi and M. Li; 9. Simplicity and statistical inference J. Rissanen; 10. Rissanen's theorem and econometric series W. Ploberger and P. C. B. Phillips; 11. Parametric versus non-parametric inference: satistical models and simplicity; 12. The role of simplicity in an econometric model selection process A. Aznar, M. Isable Ayuda and C. Garcia-Olaverri; 13. Simplicity in a behavioural, non-parametric context D. Tempelaar; 14. Keep it sophisticatedly simple A. Zellner; 15. Communication, complexity and coordination in games M. Ganslandt; 16. The simplicity of an earnings frontier U. Jensen; 17. Simplicity - views of the Nobel Laureates in economic science H. A. Keuzenkamp and M. McAleer.

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